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Bitcoin
2026-10-19 09:08:57

Bitcoin’s bull trend is intact, but the next few weeks look harder as Fed risk and inflation stay in focus

Bitcoin may still be in a longer-term bull phase, but the setup described in the source article turns more cautious over the coming weeks. The piece centers on the Federal Reserve’s Oct. 28 rate meeting, where markets largely expect no change, while still pricing a high chance of another move in December. That leaves crypto traders facing a familiar problem: policy may pause now, yet financial conditions can remain tight. The article argues that several short-term warning signs are building at once. A trend model that flipped bullish on July 20 now sits only a small distance below spot, meaning a modest pullback could trigger a sell signal. Weekly stochastic readings are also near levels often associated with overbought conditions. At the same time, the report says Bitcoin’s halving effect is no longer as powerful as in earlier cycles because most of the eventual 21 million supply has already been mined and annual issuance has fallen sharply. It also points to possible miner selling, pressure across the AI trade, and political uncertainty ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. Still, the article does not call the bull market over. It notes falling Treasury yields after hotter-than-expected inflation data, Bitcoin’s resilience above the levels seen around the Fed’s September hike, and historical post-election strength in U.S. equities. The conclusion is not outright bearishness, but a case for discipline: if trend support breaks, take profit and wait for the next entry signal.

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Bitcoin’s bull trend is intact, but the next few weeks look harder as Fed risk and inflation stay in focus
whale
2026-08-22 05:57:35

Whale Jason Leo says past losses made him exit too early after a $100 million gain in the last cycle

BlockBeats reported on August 22 that whale trader Jason Leo, known as “Set 10 Big Goals First,” posted a morning recap of his recent trading. He said he made about $100 million in profit in the previous cycle, but failed to cut losses in time after the market reversed, which led to a large drawdown in those gains. In the current cycle, he said he kept a trend-trading mindset and expected Bitcoin to reach $74,000, treating the volatility in between as part of the move higher. As price approached that target, however, his memory of earlier losses shifted his risk judgment and he chose to exit early. Jason said the real challenge in trading is not beating the market, but escaping the fixed thinking created by past experience. He added: “If experience cannot change with the environment, it is essentially bias; if discipline loses judgment, it is essentially mechanical.”

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Whale Jason Leo says past losses made him exit too early after a $100 million gain in the last cycle